According to ESPN’s FPI, the Patriots enter the last four weeks of the season with a 23.1 percent chance of finishing with the No. 1 overall draft pick. Currently, on the strength of the weakest schedule among teams near the top of the NFL Draft, the Patriots, who are one of six teams with 3-10 records, would pick third.

That's a likely scenario given the fact that New England currently owns the No. 3 pick with a 3-11 record entering Week 15. ESPN's Football Power Index gives the Patriots an 86 percent chance of landing a top-five selection.